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On the situation in Ukraine from the perspective of an outside observer


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How Simple is a social network of councils, not a political blog.

However, I would like to share my vision of the current events.

We will consider this as advice or my point of viewNot so much on the situation itself, as on the ways of its adequate and impartial perception. Due to the nature of their work, the mass media rarely deliver objective information, but they primarily form the emotional background of the population.

5 minutes of news or finding on the site - and you are already full of emotions and exclaim in the hearts of "ah, they are like that!", "Yes we have them!", Etc.

But man has a great gift - abstract thinking.

We have the opportunity to distract from what we see and hear, start asking ourselves questions and, responding to them, form our own, though subjective, view.

The events taking place now in Ukraine areIt's only part of the big gameplay that was started in time immemorial. In this process there are participants, goals, rules, but most importantly - this game can not stop. We live and live for a long time already within the framework of a very complex system of geopolitical and economic mechanisms that affect almost all countries. And this system is constantly changing.
Consider the world from the point of view of the main players. Now there are three main centers of power: China, Russia and the US + Europe. Each of these players has its own interests, goals, objectives and specific arrangements with smaller players. And there are the initial conditions for the current moment in which these players are located. What are they?
The United States is the world's largest economy,Whose currency is the world reserve. There are a number of interesting points. To begin with, the United States is also the world's largest debtor. Those. For decades, the country has borrowed money from other countries for its maintenance. From the point of view of economic theory, the situation when the currency of the world's largest debtor is the reserve and the main one for the whole world is not possible. This simply can not be. But why is this so? It's all about the status of the country. The United States is the most "strong" player in the political arena. This calms the creditors. Those. The logic is: yes, we see that the US is taking more and more, but they are big and strong, and nothing will happen to them. Oddly enough, this sort of "yard" logic works: this hooligan is the strongest, and he "took" money from us, but nothing, he will definitely return us, as he will necessarily become successful. Therefore, in order to maintain its economic status, the US is simply forced to show the world its political and military power. This combination is a guarantee of the economic stability of the country. Guarantee the stability of its political elites. This viewpoint explains the US behavior in recent decades. Military conflicts, loud political statements, a policy of double standards. Having an economy and currency that contradict logic, they commit the same contradictory political and military actions.
Russia has historically been a strong player. Over the past 10 years, our influence on the world has increased sufficiently, and we began to noticeably interfere with some of the actions of the United States. In this game there is no malicious intent. It's just a law: if the game has a strong player, it can interfere with the strategy of another player by any of its actions. The strengthening of Russia is a potential threat to the status of the United States. Those. At some point, the next US actions demonstrating strength, can meet resistance from another strong player. So recently it happened with Syria. What actions should the player take, whose positions are increasingly threatened by another? He must weaken his position. It's just the rules of the game. Many people think: "But why not just stop playing and just live peacefully?". Unfortunately, there is no way out of this game, and to stop playing means to lose.
Imagine that you stop playing Monopoly. In a short period of time other players will buy up all the objects around you and begin to ruin you. In reality, the same thing happens. So, the US strategy is to weaken Russia (and not to be biased - Russia's strategy is inversely proportional). And then there is such a unique opportunity - Ukraine. A neighbor, a fraternal people, torn apart by contradictions from the moment of separation. I will not argue that such a state of the country was artificially supported from the outside, but the latest events are provoked absolutely accurately, intentionally. Russia was distracted by the Olympics.
The move is done. The active party of two main parties has begun, where the main task is to either consolidate success, or not lose position, or minimize damage. All that we see now in the media is part of the overall game with its specific tasks of weakening or strengthening its positions.
Let us analyze recent events. After the Crimean story began, a hysterical tale was raised in the media about the ruble exchange rate. On Monday, the course really "subsided" because of the panic in the markets and the population. Surely, you yourself if you did not translate savings into dollars (note, by the way, that you are buying up the currency of the opposing player), you definitely succumbed to a general panic. What's next? The Central Bank had to calm panic in the markets through active currency interventions. On Monday, March 3, the Central Bank spent nearly $ 10 billion to meet demand for currency, in order to prevent the ruble from falling even lower. This weakened the reserves of Russia. Those. The information war is also aimed at weakening the position of the player. I will not continue to list the actions of the parties in the following days. In general, the logic is clear. This is a large multi-dimensional chess game. One of the thousands of games played out within the framework of world geopolitics over the last thousand years.
How does this approach help in assessing the situation? It allows you not to panic and not to make wrong decisions. I will not now praise our government and the president, but this game is in any case conducted by professionals. The task of the inhabitants of the country, since you consider yourself its inhabitants, at such a moment - do not begin to interfere with your own country. Nobody will fight in the Crimea with their own brothers. It's just a political move. One of many. The ruble is not devalued. There are no economic reasons for this. No one will wage war with us. Neither real nor economic. All countries and economies are too tied to each other. Everyone will suffer. This is a poker game where each player has a certain set of cards and bluffs, hoping to win the game.
The saddest thing is that everything that happens is very hardFor ordinary people. Behind all these games are tears, blood and grief of ordinary people. This is an inhuman game, but such are the rules of this world. Politics is considered a "dirty business" not because they steal. We have to take forced decisions that bring grief to our people. This is a great moral burden. And most politicians because of this just atrophy center of compassion. Remember the doctors. They have the same thing. How long do you think the doctor will last if they are emotionally involved in the grief of the patient and his relatives? He will simply quit or get drunk. Hardness and cruelty are an obligatory characteristic of certain professions. And politics is one of them.
Let's hope that the situation is resolved, and this party will soon be over.

On the situation in Ukraine from the perspective of an outside observer Was last modified: June 21st, 2017 By Nytryevr
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